E.Koldunova. Việt Nam sẽ tìm cách thúc đẩy ASEAN đoàn kết chống Trung Quốc

Việt Nam chính thức đảm nhận cương vị Chủ tịch ASEAN trong một năm. Các chuyên gia và các ấn phẩm hàng đầu thế giới bắt đầu đưa ra những dự báo về việc Việt Nam sẽ làm chủ tịch ASEAN năm 2020 như thế nào? Nhiều nhà quan sát cho rằng, các tranh chấp lãnh thổ ở Biển Đông sẽ được đặt vào trọng tâm chú ý.

ASEAN đặt Biển Đông vào trọng tâm chú ý

Lập trường cứng rắn của Việt Nam trong vấn đề này là điều dễ hiểu: vào mùa hè, một tàu thăm dò của Trung Quốc đã khảo sát ở vùng đặc quyền kinh tế của Việt Nam trong thời gian hai tháng. Và không ai có thể bảo đảm được rằng, chắc chắn Trung Quốc sẽ không nối lại các hoạt động như vậy ở vùng đặc quyền kinh tế của Việt Nam, và quyền của Việt Nam đối với vùng biển và tài nguyên dưới đáy biển ở khu vực này sẽ không bị hạn chế nhiều hơn nữa do các hành động của Trung Quốc.

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E.Koldunova. 11th South China Sea International Conference opens in Hanoi

Concerns increasing over growing tensions, violations of sovereignty, and threats to use force in the East Sea, two-day conference hears.

The 11th South China Sea International Conference opened in Hanoi on November 6, with the theme “Cooperation for Regional Security and Development”.

Co-hosted by the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam (DAV), the Foundation for East Sea Studies (FESS), and the Vietnam Lawyers Association (VLA), the two-day conference brought together more than 50 speakers and some 250 officials, scholars and diplomats of Vietnam and foreign countries, according to a report from the Vietnam News Agency (VNA).

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V.Sumsky. SPIEF-2019 as the Moment of Truth for Russia and China (and not Only Them)

“Putin and Xi stand up in St. Petersburg as a united front against Trump,” CNN declared bluntly, summarising the results of the SPIEF-2019 in terms of the China-Russia-USA triangle. Equally clear and sober assessments were expressed shortly after the forum by many other influential press outlets and authoritative commentators. There is a “Moment of Truth,” when everyone simultaneously opens his or her eyes and observes the true state of affairs in the world. A moment that is priceless in the midst of information wars and fake news waterfalls. A moment that is impossible to “drown” in caveats and reservations, which differs to global decision-makers, who consider delicacy the surest sign of weakness, writes Viktor Sumsky, Director of the ASEAN Center MGIMO University.

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E.Koldunova. Russia’s Ambivalence about an Indo-Pacific Strategy

More than half-a-decade has passed since Russia started its ‘Turn to the East’, a foreign policy reorientation toward Asia. Throughout this period, the international environment as well as the Russian position in global and regional affairs has changed dramatically. In 2012, hosting the APEC Summit in Vladivostok, Russia saw a generally positive international attitude and was optimistic about cooperation with both West and East. However, the 2014 political crisis in Ukraine followed by a referendum in Crimea, which laid the background for the peninsula’s incorporation into Russia, and sanctions against Russia from the United States and the EU brought Russia’s relations with the West to their lowest point since the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Under these constraints it seemed logical to enhance interaction with partners beyond the West whose attitudes toward Russia remained more pragmatic rather than ideological. The economically vibrant Asia-Pacific region, home to Russia’s key strategic partner China, represented the core geographical area where Russian foreign policy decision-makers naturally looked to as the alternative.

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E.Koldunova. Russia and the Turbulent Waters of the Indo-Pacific

Despite all international efforts to calm down regional tensions, the past year has witnessed more strategic divergence than convergence in the Asia-Pacific region. With the Indo-Pacific concept becoming more controversial and even its supporters (the USA, Japan, Australia, and India) advancing its own version of the concept, there is still no common vision of the security architecture in the region, be it Asia- or Indo-Pacific. The growing fragmentation of regional security as well as of visions of political economy define the overall regional dynamics and challenge the ability of key regional players to engage in cooperative actions. This article explores the regional developments of the past year from the viewpoint of Russia’s aspirations and concerns as a stakeholder interested in the regional stability and continued economic dynamism.

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